REV. DR. STEVE STUTZ
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Theology at the Threshold

The Metrics That Miss the Kingdom: What Denominational Leaders Aren't Measuring

6/4/2026

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A church with 30 people in worship fed more than 40,000 people last year — more than the entire population of the city where it operates.

I am the supply preacher at that congregation. I watch it happen every week. And I want to tell you what our standard instruments for congregational health would say about this church — and why that should trouble every mission board, every judicatory committee, and every denominational leader who makes decisions about where to invest missional resources.

What the Numbers Actually Say

In 2025, the Ray of Light Food Pantry — operated by Light of Christ Lutheran Church in La Porte, Texas — served more than 40,000 people, distributed the equivalent of more than 430,000 meals, and moved more than 600,000 pounds of food. The tracked value of what passed through its hands exceeded $1.1 million. That figure is a floor. It does not count the prize-winning steer donated from the Pasadena Livestock Show, the fresh seafood diverted after a contract snafu, or the pallets of unsold bread from the local Panera.

The human engine behind it: roughly a dozen core volunteers, an 8-person board, and approximately 140 volunteer hours poured into the neighborhood every single week. At the Independent Sector's current valuation of $36.14 per volunteer hour, that is more than $260,000 in annual labor — more than four times the congregation's entire operating budget — generated entirely off-books, fueled by nothing but neighborly devotion and a theological conviction that the person at the door is not a client.

Now here is what our standard instruments would say about this congregation: small, under-resourced, no resident pastor, no program staff, no strategic plan. Attendance: 20–30 on a good Sunday. Budget: under $60,000 for all of 2026. By every metric the institutional church uses to assess congregational health, Light of Christ is a congregation most denominational bodies would overlook — or quietly flag for consolidation conversations.

That is not a small problem. That is a broken instrument.

What We Are Actually Measuring

The metrics we have built our missional infrastructure around — attendance, budget, staff, facilities — measure one thing: institutional viability. Whether a congregation can sustain itself as an organization. They do not measure missional vitality. Whether a congregation is an actual presence of Jesus in its neighborhood. Those are not the same thing, and we have spent decades pretending they are.

A congregation that scores well on viability may be scoring near zero on effectiveness. A congregation that scores poorly on viability may be doing things no strategic plan would have generated and no spreadsheet will ever capture. We keep making resource decisions based on the first set of numbers while the second set of numbers goes unmeasured — and therefore unseen.

Roland Allen identified this problem in 1912, writing about the contrast between Paul's missionary strategy and the Western missionary apparatus. Paul planted churches that could stand on their own within months because he trusted the Spirit to do what the Spirit does when given room. The Western model, Allen argued, creates dependency rather than capacity — importing systems rather than trusting what the Spirit was already cultivating in the local soil. A century later, the apparatus has changed considerably. The structural tendency Allen identified has not.

What Better Instruments Would Measure

Intentional interim ministry work has taught me that the questions a congregation asks during a transition period reveal what it actually believes about itself and its mission — not what its metrics say. The same principle applies to the instruments denominations use to assess congregational health. The questions we ask reveal what we believe is worth measuring.

Here are four questions that would produce better data:
  1. Reach, not just attendance. How many people is this congregation touching across the entire week — not just on Sunday morning? A congregation with 30 in worship and 40,000 served annually is not a small church. It is a large mission wearing small-church clothing.
  2. Where authority actually lives. Has the congregation's apostolic capacity been distributed among laity embedded in the neighborhood, or does it bottleneck in ordained leadership and institutional structure? Michael Frost and Alan Hirsch call this apostolic genius — the Spirit-driven capacity to innovate and multiply when institutional safety nets aren't present. It is not measurable by attendance. It is measurable by what keeps happening when the institution isn't watching.
  3. Accessibility of mission. Can a neighbor — or a person in recovery — contribute to the congregation's mission before they have mastered the liturgy or joined the membership roll? The answer to that question tells you whether the congregation is organized around its own maintenance or around its neighborhood.
  4. Building independence. If the building disappeared tomorrow, would the ministry disappear with it? Or would it find another channel? That question tells you nearly everything about whether a congregation is an institution or a movement.

Learning to See What Is Already There

Light of Christ does not need to be fixed. It needs to be seen — clearly, with the right instruments, by people with the authority to name what they are seeing and invest accordingly.

The congregation that learns to be the church without waiting for institutional permission is not a congregation that failed to grow up. It may be the congregation that never needed to. The Spirit does not wait for institutional permission. The Kingdom is advancing in places our spreadsheets were never designed to find.

If you are a denominational leader, a judicatory staff member, or a congregation council member trying to understand what your congregation is actually doing in its neighborhood — the instruments matter. The questions you ask determine what you are able to see. The full version of this argument, including the data behind it, ran in the June edition of The Marginal Note right here.  

If you work with congregations in transition, the interim period is exactly the right moment to recalibrate those instruments — before a new pastor arrives and the old assumptions reassert themselves. That is the kairos inside the crisis. It does not last indefinitely.


 Rev. Dr. Steve Stutz Ordained Lutheran Pastor · Intentional Interim Minister · Certified Spiritual Director La Porte, Texas · Houston Area
[Contact] · [LinkedIn] · [The Marginal Note on Substack]

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    Author

    Rev. Dr. Steve Stutz is an ordained pastor with nearly three decades of ministry in parish, retreat, and teaching settings. He holds a Doctor of Ministry in spiritual direction and serves as an adjunct professor, teaching courses in spiritual direction and discernment. His work focuses on helping individuals and congregations listen more carefully for the movement of the Holy Spirit in everyday life. Through spiritual direction, pastoral consultation, and writing, he explores themes of discernment, spiritual formation, dreams, and the sometimes perplexing experiences that arise in the life of faith. Steve has served congregations in a variety of contexts and currently offers spiritual direction, pastoral consultation, and retreat leadership. When he is not writing or meeting with directees, he enjoys reading widely in theology, philosophy, and the Christian contemplative tradition. Learn more about his work at stevestutz.com.

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